Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 37.152047 42.674269 48.633925 55.531083 63.280180 71.704113 81.541106
2024-12-15 28.158358 35.965781 45.183822 56.806789 71.001461 87.699117 108.747727
2024-12-22 20.909613 29.168655 39.665949 53.846797 72.342586 95.469082 126.367759
2024-12-29 17.720419 26.571044 38.513084 55.558096 78.967901 109.654175 152.515542
2025-01-05 15.761253 25.155829 38.497893 58.448122 87.055165 126.043865 182.513057
2025-01-12 13.103308 22.233776 35.862880 57.174166 89.010461 134.018926 201.447078
2025-01-19 10.703367 19.276700 32.704601 54.616857 88.641672 138.419891 215.366893
2025-01-26 10.020077 18.938588 33.457828 57.969859 97.210093 156.176222 249.569505
2025-02-02 9.736228 19.209960 35.169685 62.928659 108.561757 178.739394 292.236347
2025-02-09 8.745496 18.083749 34.409829 63.731307 113.318343 191.471174 320.682269
2025-02-16 7.751219 16.795500 33.199805 63.604983 116.465261 201.780882 345.859687
2025-02-23 6.818265 15.478098 31.766508 62.904241 118.513232 210.351300 368.641965
2025-03-02 6.079099 14.483964 30.896899 63.280474 122.715147 223.173314 399.903285
2025-03-09 5.439390 13.606179 30.163206 63.870806 127.419202 237.291439 434.468593
2025-03-16 4.472233 11.844733 27.458437 60.416469 124.492171 238.167663 446.814809
2025-03-23 4.138268 11.457245 27.487812 62.273863 131.498726 256.716193 490.458519
2025-03-30 3.949394 11.380569 28.155048 65.461803 141.249899 280.701040 544.890628
2025-04-06 3.423436 10.376036 26.675028 64.051548 141.943232 288.308720 570.665314
2025-04-13 2.874357 9.199913 24.641667 61.222713 139.534044 289.963318 585.690233
2025-04-20 2.803304 9.296743 25.568972 64.930865 150.653749 317.637855 649.852606
2025-04-27 2.833475 9.682272 27.226244 70.410529 165.808287 353.801387 731.517762
2025-05-04 2.601367 9.269814 26.882863 71.297012 171.359859 371.705629 779.710875
2025-05-11 2.342087 8.724702 26.134394 71.157501 174.685249 385.403469 820.540850